Ítem
Acceso Abierto
An estimation of the pattern of diffusion of mobile phones: the case of Colombia
Título de la revista
Autores
Gamboa Niño, Luis Fernando
Otero Cardona, Jesús Gilberto
Fecha
2008
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Universidad del Rosario
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Resumen
Abstract
In this paper we find that the diffusion pattern of mobile telephony in Colombia can be best characterised as following a Logistic curve. Although in recent years the rate of growth of mobile phone subscribers has started to slow down, we find evidence that there is still room for further expansion as the saturation level is expected to be reached in five years time. The estimated saturation level is consistent with some individuals possessing more than one mobile device.
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Keywords
Mobile telecommunications , Gompertz curve , Logistic curve , Colombia , Technology diffusion
