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Acceso Abierto

Gestión sistémica e inteligente de inundaciones

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Autores
Castillo Pedraza, Laura Alejandra
De Oliveira Almeida, Aretuza

Fecha
2025-11-04

Directores
Redondo Ortegon, Johan Manuel

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Editor
Universidad del Rosario


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Resumen
El presente documento está orientado a la creación de un marco análitico para evaluar la gestión del riesgo a inundaciones de forma sistémica en los municipios de Colombia, proponiendo estrategias diversas para su implementación.
Abstract
Colombia’s tropical location, complex topography and shifting hydro-climatic regimes make floods one of its most frequent and damaging hazards. This thesis proposes a systemic and intelligent framework for flood management that integrates six dimensions: Dynamic Hydrology, Territorial Architecture, Hybrid Infrastructure, Governance, Socio-Community Capacity, and Intelligence & Data to move from reactive responses to anticipatory, evidence-based decision-making. Chapter 1 formalizes each dimension with operational definitions, metrics, reference thresholds, measurement tools, and data sources suitable for national application. Chapter 2 translates this framework into four intervention routes: grey, green, hybrid, and socio-institutional, offering criteria for context-sensitive selection and implementation. A national case study profiles all Colombian municipalities using indicators from public sources to calculate a systemic performance index. The analysis reveals consistent spatial patterns: lower relative performance tends to cluster in the Pacific and parts of the Amazon–Orinoco plains where extreme rainfall, extensive floodplains, infrastructure gaps, and data/connectivity limitations converge while higher relative performance concentrates in Andean urban corridors, where service coverage, institutional capacity, and information ecosystems partially offset physical hazard. This approach provides a transparent, replicable first-pass tool to diagnose municipal strengths and bottlenecks by dimension, prioritize territories and indicators for deeper local studies, and align interventions across grey, green, hybrid, and socio-institutional strategies. Policy recommendations emphasize densifying hydro-meteorological networks, updating flood thresholds and scenarios, embedding risk into land-use planning, scaling nature-based and hybrid solutions, strengthening multi-level governance, and building robust, open data systems. Collectively, these actions enable Colombia to shift from reaction to anticipation and to build resilient, risk-sensitive territories.
Palabras clave
Inundaciones , Gestión del riesgo , Sistémico , Gobernanza , Estrategias verdes , Comunidad
Keywords
Systemic , Risk management , Floods , Governance , Community , Green strategies
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