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Potential strong contribution of future anthropogenic land-use and land-cover change to the terrestrial carbon cycle

dc.creatorQuesada, Benjamín Raphael
dc.creatorArneth, Almutspa
dc.creatorRobertson, Eddyspa
dc.creatorde Noblet-Ducoudre, Nathaliespa
dc.date.accessioned2020-08-19T14:40:12Z
dc.date.available2020-08-19T14:40:12Z
dc.date.created2018-06-06spa
dc.description.abstractAnthropogenic land-use and land cover changes (LULCC) affect global climate and global terrestrial carbon (C) cycle. However, relatively few studies have quantified the impacts of future LULCC on terrestrial carbon cycle. Here, using Earth system model simulations performed with and without future LULCC, under the RCP8.5 scenario, we find that in response to future LULCC, the carbon cycle is substantially weakened: browning, lower ecosystem C stocks, higher C loss by disturbances and higher C turnover rates are simulated. Projected global greening and land C storage are dampened, in all models, by 22% and 24% on average and projected C loss by disturbances enhanced by ?49% when LULCC are taken into account. By contrast, global net primary productivity is found to be only slightly affected by LULCC (robust +4% relative enhancement compared to all forcings, on average). LULCC is projected to be a predominant driver of future C changes in regions like South America and the southern part of Africa. LULCC even cause some regional reversals of projected increased C sinks and greening, particularly at the edges of the Amazon and African rainforests. Finally, in most carbon cycle responses, direct removal of C dominates over the indirect CO2 fertilization due to LULCC. In consequence, projections of land C sequestration potential and Earth’s greening could be substantially overestimated just because of not fully accounting for LULCC.eng
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aac4c3
dc.identifier.issnEISSN: 1748-9326
dc.identifier.urihttps://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/26769
dc.language.isoengspa
dc.publisherIOP Publishingspa
dc.relation.citationIssueNo. 6
dc.relation.citationStartPage64023
dc.relation.citationTitleEnvironmental Research Letters
dc.relation.citationVolumeVol. 13
dc.relation.ispartofEnvironmental Research Letters, EISSN: 1748-9326, Vol.13, No.6 (2018); pp. 064023spa
dc.relation.urihttps://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/aac4c3/pdfspa
dc.rights.accesRightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rights.accesoAbierto (Texto Completo)spa
dc.sourceEnvironmental Research Lettersspa
dc.source.instnameinstname:Universidad del Rosario
dc.source.reponamereponame:Repositorio Institucional EdocUR
dc.subject.keywordCarbon cyclespa
dc.subject.keywordAttributionspa
dc.subject.keywordLand cover changesspa
dc.subject.keywordDeforestationspa
dc.subject.keywordGreeningspa
dc.subject.keywordLand carbon storagespa
dc.subject.keywordEarth system modelspa
dc.titlePotential strong contribution of future anthropogenic land-use and land-cover change to the terrestrial carbon cyclespa
dc.title.TranslatedTitleFuerte contribución potencial del futuro cambio antropogénico del uso de la tierra y la cobertura de la tierra al ciclo del carbono terrestrespa
dc.typearticleeng
dc.type.hasVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.spaArtículospa
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