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Current hydroclimatic spaces will be breached in half of the world’s humid high-elevation tropical ecosystems

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dc.creatorJaramillo, Fernandospa
dc.creatorSánchez Andrade, Adrianaspa
dc.creatorRubiano, Kristianspa
dc.creatorClerici, Nicolaspa
dc.date.accessioned2025-07-21T16:34:51Z
dc.date.available2025-07-21T16:34:51Z
dc.date.created2025-12-01spa
dc.date.issued2025-12-01spa
dc.description.abstractHumid high-elevation tropical ecosystems (HETEs), known as páramos, jalca, or moorlands, are essential for biodiversity conservation and water supply. Yet, a key question remains of how future climate change will affect their hydroclimatic spaces: the multidimensional hydroclimatic conditions in which they currently thrive. We use CMIP6-downscaled climate data to assess the potential breaching of these hydroclimatic spaces concerning the long-term means, extremes, and seasonality of temperature and precipitation. Our results show that HETEs in Northern South America will experience the largest increase in temperature and decrease in precipitation, leading to the breaching of their current hydroclimatic space by up to 100%. In the Afrotropics and Australasia, HETEs will experience a breaching of their hydroclimatic spaces related to long-term means and extremes. Our findings provide relevant information on the vulnerability of HETEs to climate change, offering insights to inform the integration of adaptation measures into policy development and management strategies for conserving these key ecosystems and their services.eng
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfspa
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02087-6spa
dc.identifier.issn2662-4435spa
dc.identifier.urihttps://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/46048
dc.language.isoengspa
dc.publisherNature Briefingspa
dc.relation.ispartofCommunications Earth & Environment volume 6, Article number: 197 (2025)spa
dc.relation.urihttps://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-025-02087-6spa
dc.rightsAttribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internationalspa
dc.rights.accesRightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessspa
dc.rights.accesoAbierto (Texto Completo)spa
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/spa
dc.sourceCommunications Earth & Environmentspa
dc.source.instnameinstname:Universidad del Rosariospa
dc.source.reponamereponame:Repositorio Institucional EdocURspa
dc.subject.keywordCiencias de la Tierra y Planetariaseng
dc.subject.keywordClimate-change ecologyeng
dc.subject.keywordClimate-change impactseng
dc.subject.keywordEcosystem ecologyeng
dc.subject.keywordEcosystem serviceseng
dc.subject.keywordTropical ecologyeng
dc.titleCurrent hydroclimatic spaces will be breached in half of the world’s humid high-elevation tropical ecosystemsspa
dc.typearticlespa
dc.type.hasVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionspa
dc.type.spaArtículo de Investigaciónspa
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