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Reduction of monsoon rainfall in response to past and future land use and land cover changes

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dc.creatorQuesada, Benjamín Raphael
dc.creatorDevaraju, Narayanappaspa
dc.creatorDe Noblet?Ducoudré, Nathaliespa
dc.creatorArneth, Almutspa
dc.date.accessioned2020-08-06T16:21:32Z
dc.date.available2020-08-06T16:21:32Z
dc.date.created2016-12-04spa
dc.description.abstractLand use and land cover changes (LULCC) can have significant biophysical impacts on regional precipitation, including monsoon rainfall. Using global simulations with and without LULCC from five general circulation models, under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 scenario, we find that future LULCC significantly reduce monsoon precipitation in at least four (out of eight) monsoon regions. While monsoon rainfalls are likely to intensify under future global warming, we estimate that biophysical effects of LULCC substantially weaken future projections of monsoons' rainfall by 9% (Indian region), 12% (East Asian), 32% (South African), and 41% (North African), with an average of ~?30% for projections across the global monsoon region. A similar strong contribution is found for biophysical effects of past LULCC to monsoon rainfall changes since the preindustrial period. Rather than remote effects, local land?atmosphere interactions, implying a decrease in evapotranspiration, soil moisture, and clouds along with more anticyclonic conditions, could explain this reduction in monsoon rainfall.eng
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL070663
dc.identifier.issnISSN: 0094-8276
dc.identifier.issnESSN: 1944-8007
dc.identifier.urihttps://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/26387
dc.language.isoengspa
dc.publisherJohn Wiley and Sonsspa
dc.relation.citationEndPage1050
dc.relation.citationIssueNo. 2
dc.relation.citationStartPage1041
dc.relation.citationTitleGeophysical Research Letters
dc.relation.citationVolumeVol. 44
dc.relation.ispartofGeophysical Research Letters, ISSN: 0094-8276; ESSN: 1944-8007, Vol.44, No.2 (January, 2017); pp.1041-1050spa
dc.relation.urihttps://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/2016GL070663spa
dc.rights.accesRightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rights.accesoAbierto (Texto Completo)spa
dc.sourceGeophysical Research Lettersspa
dc.source.instnameinstname:Universidad del Rosario
dc.source.reponamereponame:Repositorio Institucional EdocUR
dc.subject.keywordAttributionspa
dc.subject.keywordMonsoon rainfallspa
dc.subject.keywordLand cover changesspa
dc.subject.keywordModel intercomparisonspa
dc.subject.keywordTeleconnectionsspa
dc.subject.keywordBiophysical effectsspa
dc.titleReduction of monsoon rainfall in response to past and future land use and land cover changesspa
dc.title.TranslatedTitleReducción de las lluvias monzónicas en respuesta al uso de la tierra pasado y futuro y los cambios en la coberturaspa
dc.typearticleeng
dc.type.hasVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.spaArtículospa
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