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The Real Winner's Curse

dc.creatorFergusson, Leopoldospa
dc.creatorQuerubin, Pablospa
dc.creatorRuiz, Nelson A.spa
dc.creatorVargas Duque, Juan Fernandospa
dc.date.accessioned2020-05-26T00:09:59Z
dc.date.available2020-05-26T00:09:59Z
dc.date.created2020spa
dc.description.abstractTraditional theories of democracy suggest that political representation of excluded groups can reduce their incentives to engage in conflict and lead to lower violence. However, this argument ignores the response of established elites when (1) their interests are threatened by the policy stance of new political actors and (2) elites have a comparative advantage in the exercise of violence. Using a regression discontinuity approach, we show that the narrow election of previously excluded left-wing parties to local executive office in Colombia results in a one standard deviation increase in violent events by right-wing paramilitaries. We interpret this surge in violence as a reaction of traditional elites to offset the increase in outsiders' access to formal political power. Consistent with this interpretation, we find that violence by left-wing guerrillas and other actors is unaffected and that violence is not influenced by the victory of right-wing or other new parties in close elections. © 2020, Midwest Political Science Associationeng
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12508
dc.identifier.issn00925853
dc.identifier.issn15405907
dc.identifier.urihttps://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/24196
dc.language.isoengspa
dc.publisherBlackwell Publishing Ltdspa
dc.relation.citationTitleAmerican Journal of Political Science
dc.relation.ispartofAmerican Journal of Political Science, ISSN:00925853, 15405907,(2020)spa
dc.relation.urihttps://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85080138251&doi=10.1111%2fajps.12508&partnerID=40&md5=adfac071364d987bf197c1f9e74b59caspa
dc.rights.accesRightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rights.accesoAbierto (Texto Completo)spa
dc.source.instnameinstname:Universidad del Rosariospa
dc.source.reponamereponame:Repositorio Institucional EdocURspa
dc.subject.keywordRealspa
dc.subject.keywordWinner'sspa
dc.subject.keywordCursespa
dc.titleThe Real Winner's Cursespa
dc.typearticleeng
dc.type.hasVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.spaArtículospa
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