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Vote choice and legacies of violence: Evidence from the 2014 colombian presidential elections

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dc.creatorWeintraub, Michael
dc.creatorVargas Duque, Juan Fernando
dc.creatorFlores, Thomas
dc.creator.googleWeintraub, Michaelspa
dc.creator.googleVargas, Juan Fspa
dc.creator.googleFlores, Thomas E.spa
dc.date.accessioned2020-04-03T01:27:13Z
dc.date.available2020-04-03T01:27:13Z
dc.date.created2015
dc.date.issued2015
dc.description.abstractElections are regularly held in countries facing ongoing civil conflicts, including in India, Iraq, Nigeria, the Philippines, and Ukraine. Citizens frequently go to the polls having endured years of violence between armed groups and governments. A growing literature questions how violence conditions voters’ support for incumbents versus challengers, and for hawks versus doves. We analyze this relationship in the context of the 2014 presidential election in Colombia, an election defined by candidates’ positions on negotiations with the country’s largest insurgent group, the FARC. Our results show an inverted-U relationship between past insurgent violence and vote share for President Juan Manuel Santos, the pro-peace candidate: he performed better in communities with moderate levels of insurgent violence and poorly in communities with both very high and very low violence. We also find that areas where the FARC originally mounted attacks 50 years ago more strongly supported Santos. The article concludes by comparing these results with past studies of violence and vote choice in Israel, Turkey, and Spain. © The Author(s) 2015.eng
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1177/2053168015573348
dc.identifier.issn2053-1680
dc.identifier.urihttps://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/21456
dc.language.isoengspa
dc.relation.citationIssueNo. 2
dc.relation.citationTitleResearch and Politics
dc.relation.citationVolumeVol. 2
dc.relation.ispartofResearch and Politics, ISSN: 2053-1680 Vol. 2, No. 2 (2015)spa
dc.relation.urihttps://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1177/2053168015573348spa
dc.rights.accesRightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rights.accesoAbierto (Texto Completo)spa
dc.source.instnameinstname:Universidad del Rosario
dc.source.reponamereponame:Repositorio Institucional EdocUR
dc.subjectGuerra civilspa
dc.subjectEleccionesspa
dc.subjectVotaciónspa
dc.subjectInsurgenciaspa
dc.subject.ddcEl proceso políticospa
dc.subject.keywordCivil warspa
dc.subject.keywordElectionsspa
dc.subject.keywordVotingspa
dc.subject.keywordInsurgencyspa
dc.subject.lembDemocraciaspa
dc.subject.lembVotaciónspa
dc.subject.lembGuerra Civilspa
dc.titleVote choice and legacies of violence: Evidence from the 2014 colombian presidential electionsspa
dc.typearticleeng
dc.type.hasVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.spaArtículospa
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