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Non-radiative effects dominate the local surface temperature response to land-cover change—Insights from a semi-empirical model

dc.creatorArneth, Almutspa
dc.creatorQuesada, Benjamin Raphaelspa
dc.creatorHänchen, Lorenzspa
dc.date.accessioned2025-07-21T16:50:17Z
dc.date.available2025-07-21T16:50:17Z
dc.date.created2025-03-13spa
dc.date.issued2025-03-13spa
dc.description.abstractLand-cover change (LCC) is an important driver of climate change through carbon emissions (biochemical effects), but also through changes in the surface energy balance (biophysical effects). Quantifying magnitude and sign of surface temperature responses to biophysical effects is still challenging and under debate. We develop a new semi-empirical model based on a linearized surface energy balance for biophysical and an empirical model for the biochemical responses to LCC. Neglecting indirect effects, we find average global direct biophysical and biochemical warmings in response to a stylized deforestation scenario (1.22 K and 0.50 K) and historical LCC (0.42 K and 0.15 K), whereas an afforestation experiment leads to cooling (?1.95 K and ?0.96 K). Our results underline the non-negligible impact of biophysical effects, especially non-radiative effects, and stress teng
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfspa
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124741spa
dc.identifier.issn0301-4797spa
dc.identifier.urihttps://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/46093
dc.language.isoengspa
dc.publisherElsevierspa
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Environmental Management 380 (2025)spa
dc.relation.urihttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301479725007170?via%3Dihubspa
dc.rightsAttribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internationalspa
dc.rights.accesRightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessspa
dc.rights.accesoAbierto (Texto Completo)spa
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/spa
dc.sourceJournal of Environmental Managementspa
dc.source.instnameinstname:Universidad del Rosariospa
dc.source.reponamereponame:Repositorio Institucional EdocURspa
dc.subject.keywordLCCeng
dc.subject.keywordBiophysical effectseng
dc.subject.keywordSurface temperature changeeng
dc.subject.keywordClimate policieseng
dc.titleNon-radiative effects dominate the local surface temperature response to land-cover change—Insights from a semi-empirical modelspa
dc.typearticlespa
dc.type.hasVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionspa
dc.type.spaArtículo de Investigaciónspa
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