Recent Submissions

  • Job migration in a rivalry setting 

    Saavedra, Santiago; Fletcher, Robert
    La importancia de las redes sociales en la búsqueda de empleo y la migración han sido bien documentadas Sin embargo, la difusión amplia de información. a través de las redes cuando surgen oportunidades puede conducir ...
     Documento de trabajo. 2019
  • Local incentives and national tax evasion: unintended effects of a mining royalties reform in Colombia 

    Saavedra, Santiago; Romero, Mauricio
    Lograr una distribución justa de los recursos es uno de los objetivos clave de la política fiscal. Para hacer esto, los gobiernos a menudo transfieren recursos fiscales de áreas ricas a áreas pobres. En este articulo ...
     Documento de trabajo. 2019
  • Communal property rights and deforestation 

    Saavedra, Santiago; Romero, Mauricio
    Casi un tercio de la superficie forestal mundial está bajo titulación colectiva. En principio, este acuerdo podría conducir a una "tragedia de los comunes" y, por lo tanto, a una mayor deforestación. Pero monitorear la ...
     Documento de trabajo. 2019
  • Lost in Transition? The Persistence of Dictatorship Mayors 

    González, Felipe; Muñoz, Pablo; Prem, Mounu
    Dictatorships can affect the functioning of new democracies but the mechanisms are poorly understood. We study the Pinochet dictatorship in Chile using new data and provide two findings. First, mayors appointed by Pinochet ...
     Documento de trabajo. 2019
  • Corruption and Firms 

    Colonnelli, Emanuele; Prem, Mounu
    We estimate the causal real economic effects of a randomized anti-corruption crackdown on local governments in Brazil over the period 2003-2014. After anti-corruption audits, municipalities experience an increase in economic ...
     Documento de trabajo. 2019
  • The Evolution of Ownership Structures: Privatization, Business Groups, and Pyramids 

    Aldunate, Felipe; González, Felipe; Prem, Mounu; Urzúa I., Francisco
    What is the contribution of privatization to the formation of business groups and pyramids? We use new data to study how Pinochet’s privatizations in Chile (1973-1990) affected the evolution of ownership structures. Using ...
     Documento de trabajo. 2019
  • The Human Capital Peace Dividend 

    Namen, Olga; Prem, Mounu; Vargas, Juan F.
    A large body of literature has documented negative effects of civil conflict on the educational outcomes of affected children across different countries and historical periods. The opposite is however not obvious. Because ...
     Documento de trabajo. 2019
  • What predicts corruption? 

    Colonnelli, Emanuele; Gallego, Jorge; Prem, Mounu; Gallego
    Using rich micro data from Brazil, we show that multiple popular machine learning models display extremely high levels of performance in predicting municipality-level corruption in public spending. Measures of private ...
     Documento de trabajo. 2019
  • Motivating bureaucrats with non-monetary incentives when state capacity is weak : Evidence from large-scale field experiments in Peru 

    Dustan, Andrew; Maldonado, Stanislao; Hernandez-Agramont, Juan Manuel
    We study how non-monetary incentives, motivated by recent advances in behavioral economics, affect civil servant performance in a context where state capacity is weak. We collaborated with a government agency in Peru to ...
     Documento de trabajo. 2018
  • End-of-Conflict Deforestation : Evidence From Colombia’s Peace Agreement 

    Prem, Mounu; Saavedra, Santiago; Vargas, Juan F.
    Armed conflict can endanger natural resources through several channels such as direct predation from fighting groups, but it may also help preserve ecosystems by dissuading extractive economic activities through the fear ...
     Documento de trabajo. 2018
  • The Geography of Repression and Support for Democracy : Evidence from the Pinochet Dictatorship 

    Bautista, María Angélica; González, Felipe; Martínez, Luis R.; Muñoz, Pablo; Prem, Mounu
    We show that exposure to repression under dictatorship increases support for democracy and contributes to regime change when a democratic window of opportunity arises. Studying the military dictatorship of Augusto Pinochet ...
     Documento de trabajo. 2018
  • Can Facebook Ads and Email Messages Increase Fiscal State Capacity? Experimental Evidence from Venezuela 

    Gallego, Jorge A.; Ortega, Federico
    Tax compliance is a big challenge in weakly institutionalized countries, in which citizens do not trust the State and prefer to evade. Can compliance be increased, and hence fiscal state capacity strengthened, using online ...
     Documento de trabajo. 2018
  • The Vertical Cooperative : An experiment on cooperation and punishment across networks 

    Fatas, Enrique; Melendez, Miguel Angel; Solaz, Hector
    We experimentally study punishment patterns across network structures, and their effect on cooperation. In a repeated public goods setting, subjects can only observe and punish their neighbors. Centralized structures (like ...
     Documento de trabajo. 2018
  • Patronage and Selection in Public Sector Organizations 

    Colonnelli, Emanuele; Prem, Mounu; Teso, Edoardo
    In all modern bureaucracies, politicians retain some discretion in public em- ployment decisions, which may lead to frictions in the selection process if political connections substitute for individual competence. Relying ...
     Documento de trabajo. 2018
  • Preventing rather than Punishing: An Early Warning Model of Malfeasance in Public Procurement 

    Gallego, Jorge A.; Rivero, Gonzalo; Martínez, Juan
    Is it possible to predict corruption and public inefficiency in public procurement? With the proliferation of e-procurement in the public sector, anti-corruption agencies and watchdog organizations in many countries currently ...
     Documento de trabajo. 2018
  • The Discrete Charm of Nominal Illusion 

    Fatas, Enrique; Morales, Antonio J.
    We investigate the emergence and persistence of nominal illusion in an experimental entry game where firms must choose which local market to enter, then compete in prices. All local markets are equivalent in real terms and ...
     Documento de trabajo. 2018
  • The Political Economy of Patrons, Brokers, and Voters 

    Gallego, Jorge A.; Li, Christopher; Wantchekon, Leonard
    Formal models of political clientelism tend to focus on vote buying, the exchange of cash and goods for votes on election day. However, other components of the phenomenon, such as patronage, the exchange of public jobs and ...
     Documento de trabajo. 2018
  • Killing social leaders for territorial control : The unintended consequences of peace 

    Prem, Mounu; Rivera, Andrés F.; Romero, Dario A.; Vargas, Juan F.
    We study the unintended consequences of the recent peace process in Colombia, that ended over five decades of internal armed conflict with the FARC insurgency. Using a triple differences empirical strategy, we show that ...
     Documento de trabajo. 2018
  • The Privatization Origins of Political Corporations 

    González, Felipe; Prem, Mounu; Urzúa I., Francisco
    We show how the sale of state owned firms in dictatorships may lead to the creation of political corporations operating in democracies. Using several novel datasets, we characterize the privatizations of the Pinochet regime ...
     Documento de trabajo. 2018
  • Blessing a Curse? Institutional Reform and Resource Booms in Colombia 

    Gallego, Jorge A.; Maldonado, Stanislao; Trujillo, Lorena
    Is it possible to revert the resource curse through institutional reform? Evidence suggests that there is a negative relationship between abundance of natural resources and economic growth, political stability, democracy, ...
     Documento de trabajo. 2018

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