Ítem
Acceso Abierto
Global trends in biodiversity and ecosystem services from 1900 to 2050
Título de la revista
Autores
Pereira, Henrique M.
Rosa, Isabel M.D.
Martins, Inês S.
Kim, HyeJin
Leadley, Paul
Quesada, Benjamín Raphael
Archivos
Fecha
2020-04-18
Directores
ISSN de la revista
Título del volumen
Editor
Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory
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Resumen
Abstract
Despite the scientific consensus on the extinction crisis and its anthropogenic origin, the quantification of historical trends and of future scenarios of biodiversity and ecosystem services has been limited, due to the lack of inter-model comparisons and harmonized scenarios. Here, we present a multi-model analysis to assess the impacts of landuse and climate change from 1900 to 2050. During the 20th century provisioning services increased, but biodiversity and regulating services decreased. Similar trade-offs are projected for the coming decades, but they may be attenuated in a sustainability scenario. Future biodiversity loss from land-use change is projected to keep up with historical rates or reduce slightly, whereas losses due to climate change are projected to increase greatly. Renewed efforts are needed by governments to meet the 2050 vision of the Convention on Biological Diversity.
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Keywords
Climate change , Biodiversity , Ecosystem , Extinction
